Russia’s Potential New Offensive in Ukraine


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The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has raised concerns about Russia’s possible preparations for a new offensive in Ukraine in the upcoming weeks. According to the US-based think tank, delays in Western assistance have already enabled Russia to make incremental gains along the frontline.

Analysis by ISW Russia Analyst Riley Baily

Analysis by ISW Russia Analyst Riley Baily

ISW Russia analyst Riley Baily highlighted the challenges faced by Ukrainian forces due to material shortages and delays in Western security assistance. Baily emphasized that Ukrainian forces are currently lacking the capabilities needed to counter a potential Russian advance effectively.

“Russian forces are gradually regaining strength on the battlefield and pose a threat of making significant operational advances this summer through a large-scale offensive,” Baily added.

The ISW report indicates that Russia may be planning new offensives targeting key locations like the town of Chasiv Yar, which holds strategic importance in the region.

  • If Russian forces capture Chasiv Yar, they could potentially launch further offensives on locations like Konstantikovkivka and Kruskivka, crucial for Ukrainian defense,” Baily explained.

Kyiv has been warning about a potential Russian spring offensive, emphasizing the urgent need for Western military support to bolster its defenses. Ukrainian and Western leaders have welcomed a significant aid package approved by the US House of Representatives, with a major portion allocated for Ukraine’s defense needs.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed the critical importance of receiving this aid promptly to strengthen the frontline against potential Russian aggression.

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